Fulham Wards Set to Be Closely Contested

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Polls point to local seats being among most marginal in the borough

Hammersmith and Fulham goes to the polls on 7 May

April 13, 2026

With the full candidate lists now declared for the local elections this May, a clearer picture has emerged of the contest ahead.

Polling suggests that some of the hardest-to-call wards will be in the Fulham area with all the main parties having hopes of having councillors in the area.

The 2022 election was held against a national backdrop of Partygate and a Conservative government in crisis — and it is the high-water mark that Labour must now defend. The party’s predicted share of the vote nationally has declined from 35% to around 20%.

The following analysis is largely based on polling carried out by Pollcheck, an organisation that publishes ward level predictions. It uses historic voting, recent national polling and demographic data to project results at a local level. This methodology will not take account of specific local factors such as a councillor’s performance in office and particular issues which are important to local voters. Given the complexity of the current election and move away from the dominance by two parties, the projections made must be seen as speculative.

Fulham wards ranked by expected winning margin
Ward	Winner	Margin	Seats	Lab	Con	LD	Green	Ref
Sands End	Lab	4.3pp	3	32.6	28.3	4.3	22.9	11.9
Munster	Con	8.0pp	3	8.0	32.7	23.5	24.6	11.2
Lillie	Lab	22.5pp	2	46.8	10.9	6.9	24.2	11.1
Parsons Green & Sandford	Con	22.7pp	3	7.3	46.5	11.5	23.8	10.9
West Kensington	Lab	24.8pp	3	48.8	6.7	8.8	24.0	11.8
Fulham Town	Con	25.9pp	2	12.4	45.2	19.3	15.7	7.5
Fulham Reach	Lab	26.3pp	3	50.0	11.8	4.0	23.7	10.5
Walham Green	Lab	31.0pp	2	46.4	15.4	12.1	12.8	13.3
Palace & Hurlingham	Con	42.5pp	3	7.0	57.2	7.3	14.7	13.8

Source: Pollcheck

Three of the Fulham wards that returned Conservative councillors even in 2022 are expected to remain firmly blue. In Parsons Green & Sandford, Fulham Town, Palace & Hurlingham, Pollcheck projects the Tories to retain commanding percentage point leads. Conservative group leader Jose Afonso will be defending his seat in Parsons Green & Sandford.

Palace and Hurlingham
Candidate	Party
Aliya Afzal-Khan	Conservatives
Shirley Cupit	Labour
Matt Dobson	Green Party
Tamara Dragadze	Liberal Democrats
Nick Elverston	Labour
Guy Hennings	Reform UK
Stephen Lewis	Reform UK
Amanda Lloyd-Harris	Conservatives
Jeremy Maddocks	Conservatives
Orlando Morley	Labour
William Tucker	Reform UK

Parsons Green and Sandford
Candidate	Party
Jose Afonso	Conservatives
Sam Hunter Jones	Green Party
Jerome Lussan	Liberal Democrats
Peter Moore	Reform UK
Graham Peter Muir	Liberal Democrats
Rajeev Nair	Reform UK
Sana Omar	Green Party
Adrian Pascu-Tulbure	Conservatives
Alexandra Thomas	Labour
Isabella Wyatt	Labour

Despite it riding high in national polling, Reform is not predicted to make gains here in any contest in SW6 or indeed across the local authority area. Fulham Town's July 2025 by-election — the most recent electoral test in the borough — saw Reform take just 12.5% and the Greens 4.2%, while the Conservatives comfortably held the seat with 43.3%. The wealthier, more cosmopolitan population of these wards is not a demographic from which Nigel Farage’s party tends to get much support.

The second place achieved by the Liberal Democrats in the by-election makes this the top target in Fulham for the party. Its candidates are Jacqueline Dennee, a legal technology professional with over a decade's experience navigating complex regulation and Roy Pounsford, who brings 40+ years in project management, a background as a school governor, and hands-on community work as an IT volunteer with Fulham Good Neighbours.

The Conservatives could be vulnerable in Munster ward where Pollcheck sees it only having an 8 percentage point lead with the Greens projected to take one of the seats. The party currently has two councillors who switched to it from Labour but neither is standing again, so this looks like its best chance of continuing to be represented on the council.

Munster
Candidate	Party
Adronie Elizabeth Alford	Conservatives
Lawrence Gould	Liberal Democrats
Mervyn Guille	Reform UK
David Kelly	Reform UK
Jason Khan	Green Party
Caroline Needham	Labour
Lucy O’Sullivan	Reform UK
Philipp Rader	Liberal Democrats
Dominic Stanton	Conservatives
Ted Townsend	Liberal Democrats
Guy Vincent	Labour
Stewart Edward Waine	Conservatives
Patrick Walsh	Labour

It is Labour who will be concerned about the three seats they currently hold in Sands End which is ranked as the most vulnerable ward in the borough. Pollcheck sees a strong performance by the Greens being insufficient to win in the ward but enough to split the progressive vote allowing the Conservatives to take the third spot and hence of the seats.

Sands End
Candidate	Party
Henry Bagwell	Liberal Democrats
Deep Bassi	Reform UK
Amanda Beddows-Adams	Reform UK
Benjamin Budd	Liberal Democrats
Ray Burnet	Liberal Democrats
Rob Harris	Conservatives
Libby Hart	Conservatives
Ken Jemedafe	Labour
Martyna Marcinkowska	Green Party
Roseanne Meacher	Labour
David Morris	Labour
Matt Sinclair	Conservatives
Tom Stojanovic	Reform UK

Fulham Reach is expected to be held in totality by Labour although its share of the vote would drop dramatically from nearly two thirds in 2022 to under half with the Greens the main beneficiary.

Fulham Reach
Candidate	Party
James Christopher Bennett	Reform UK
David Campbell	Labour
Tereza Cervenova	Green Party
Caroline Ruth Ffiske	Conservatives
Ash Goddard	Green Party
Fuad Hendricks	Conservatives
Anna Magryta-Urban	Labour
Mark Richard Nelson	Conservatives
Meher Oliaji	Liberal Democrats
Jelena Sarmo	Liberal Democrats
Shelly Sawyer	Reform UK
Joe Soares	Reform UK
Nikos Souslous	Labour

Labour’s hold on the two seat Walham Green ward is anticipated to hold up better than in other neighbouring areas with its majority rising as the Conservative’s vote is eaten into by Reform and the Greens not performing as well here as elsewhere in the borough. Trey Campbell-Simon, one of the Labour defectors to the Greens, represented this ward but the party lost the potential benefit of incumbency following his decision to stand down.

Walham Green
Candidate	Party
Elinor Alice Bale	Conservatives
Edward Colnet	Reform UK
Sam Kelly	Labour
Genevieve Nwaogbe	Labour
Ann Savage	Green Party
Dan Taub	Reform UK
Luigi Trovato	Liberal Democrats
Oliver Wessely	Liberal Democrats
James Windsor-Clive	Conservatives

The pattern of voting in Fulham Reach is expected to be replicated in West Kensington and Lillie with the Greens emerging the main challenger to Labour’s dominance ahead of the Conservatives. The current Mayor of Hammersmith & Fulham, Sharon Holder, is defending her seat in Lillie ward. A low turnout and a better-than-expected performance for the Greens could mean shock results for Labour in areas like these.

Lillie
Candidate	Party
Saadi Chowdhury	Conservatives
Francis Flaherty	Liberal Democrats
Maria Guerrero	Green Party
Subodh Gupta	Reform UK
Sharon Holder	Labour
Lydia Paynter	Labour
Daniel Pienaar	Reform UK
Tom Wade	Conservatives

West Kensington
Candidate	Party
David Amos	Reform UK
Denise Baker	Green Party
Gill Barnes	Liberal Democrats
Jackie Borland	Conservatives
Victoria Brignell	Labour
Daryl Brown	Labour
Florian Chevoppe-Verdier	Labour
Jose Espinas	Liberal Democrats
Martin Howe	Reform UK
Hilary MacDonald	Reform UK
Yaz Monerawela	Conservatives
Harry Phibbs	Conservatives
Sarah Taylor	Liberal Democrats

Labour has held a majority on the council since the 2014 election. The PollCheck analysis projects that majority continuing on 7 May — but reduced. The current pre-election council composition of Labour 36, Conservative 10, Green 2 and one Independent is projected to shift modestly: Labour losing one or two seats to Conservative recovery in Munster and possibly Sands End, with the Greens unable to convert their vote share into seats under first-past-the-post.

Stephen Cowan's administration looks set for a fifth term, though with a slimmer mandate than the 40-seat clean sweep that swept him back in 2022. However, these projections are based on historic assumptions about voting patterns which may be blown up by the current more fluid loyalties of the electorate.

Register to vote  

The elections will take place on Thursday 7 May. Residents who have not yet registered to vote have until  midnight on  Monday 20 April to do so at www.gov.uk/registertovote 

Can’t get to the polling station?  

Anyone who is registered to vote can apply to have their ballot paper sent to them in the post. The deadline to apply for a postal vote, or to send written notification of changes to an existing postal or proxy arrangement, is 5pm on Tuesday 21 April. 

Residents who wish to apply for someone to vote on their behalf, must submit a new proxy vote application. The deadline to apply for a proxy vote is  5pm on Tuesday 28 April.  

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